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Election news digest 5, 1-15 December 2008

Contents:

Megawati Considers Sultan and Hidayat for Running Mate [1 December]
The Indonesia Democratic Party of Struggle, or PDI-P, is considering either Yogyakarta's governor, Sultan Hamengkubuwono X, or People's Consultative Assembly chairman Hidayat Nurwahid as Megawati Sukarnoputri's running mate in next year's presidential election. [full story...]

Lack Of Polls Watchdog In Aceh Could Spark Tension Next Year [1 December]
The absence of an electoral supervisory agency in Aceh could trigger violations in the upcoming elections process and threaten stability in the area warn democracy activists. Accusations of violence and intimidation have marred the campaigns of a number of candidates recently. [full story...]

Presidential Election Law being challenged in court [2 December]
The Partai Bulan Bintang, PBB has lodged an appeal to the Constitutional Court against the Presidential Election Law, which stipulates that a party must have 20% of the seats or 25% of the votes to nominate a candidate for president.  They regard the law as unconstitutional because Article 6 of the Constitution stipulates that all parties should be able to nominate candidates. Although this is an initiative take by the PBB, they hope that other parties will join the action. [full story...]

Recession casualty: Indonesia's political patrons who bankroll parties [3 December]
The rich politicians who bankrolled previous campaigns look set to abandon their big-spending role in next year's general election, after seeing their wealth dented by the stock market slump. Instead, the parties are likely to return to traditional grassroots campaigning, dropping high-profile TV advertisements and relying on their national networks of supporters to drum up votes.  But money is likely to remain a feature of another aspect of Indonesian political campaigning - the street parades and free music concerts where party shirts and cash-stuffed envelopes are handed out.  Indonesian election law bans bribing voters, but parties always find ways to exploit grey areas. [full story...]

PDI-P Confident of Election Win [9 December]
The Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle, PDI-P, is still confident of winning next year's presidential election despite the announcement by a splinter party the Democratic Reform Party, PDP, that former minister for state enterprises, Laksamana Sukardi, would be its presidential candidate.  The PDP was formed by disillusioned former PDI-P members, who split in late 2005 after Megawati refused to relinquish her position in the party. [full story...]

Political 'vibrancy' in Aceh ahead of Indonesian elections [9 December]
Since the August 2005 peace agreement, Aceh has been politically vibrant, but on edge, especially in the lead up to next April’s parliamentary elections.  The elections will be a test for a new approach, which includes the presence of local parties and the transformation of the Free Aceh Movement from an armed group into a political party.  Interview with human rights lawyer, Afridal Darmi. [full story...]

8 Editors File for Review of Election Law [11 December]
Eight newspaper chief editors on Wednesday filed for a judicial review of the legislative election law, which requires the media to provide equal opportunity to the advertising campaigns of contesting political parties.  They are concerned that they will be in breach of the law if some parties choose not to run ads. [full story...]

New Axis Of Islam Sought In Polls [11 December]
Muhammadiyah chairman Din Syamsuddin has called for the formation of a new strategic coalition or central axis of Islam-based political parties to win next year's presidential election.  Both Islamic and Islam-based parties should ideally be represented by a single presidential or vice presidential candidate," he said. [full story...]

House Furious Over Officials Absence From Abduction Hearing [11 December]
A House of Representatives' special committee has slammed the Attorney General for failing to attend a meeting on the establishment of an investigative tribunal into the abduction of democracy advocates.  Other high-profile figures also failed to attend.  Several presidential hopefuls, including  Wiranto, Prabowo Subianto, Sutiyoso and President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono have been summoned to appear before the committee. [full story...]

[See also News Digest 2 & News Digest 4]

Elections Body Warned Over Fraud [11 December]
The General Elections Commission (KPU) has warned Bali's regional counterpart (KPUD) against shortchanging the electoral process following systematic and massive election fraud during East Java's recent gubernatorial election. [full story...]

Money Politics Threat to the Elections [11 December]
According to the former chairman of the Supreme Consultative Asssembly, MPR, Amien Rais, a presidential candidate needs four ‘M’s - masses, money, military and media as well as one ‘S’ – students to do well in the elections.  Former Kopassus commander, Prabowo Subianto, appears to have the largest supply of money. [full story...]

GOLKAR orders an end to discussion about presidential candidate [11 December]
The Central Board of GOLKAR has instructed its branches to end all discussions regarding the party's candidate for the presidency until after the legislative elections in April. The instruction is signed by party chairman Jusuf Kalla.  This has led to accusations of a lack of democracy within the party. [full story...]

Members of NU are ordered not to abstain (golput) [11 December]
The general chairman of Nahdlatul Ulama said that although there is no prohibition for its members to abstain from voting, they will be advised to exercise their right to vote. The remarks were in response to the call from former Presidnet Abdurrahman Wahid, for people to boycott the election because his party, the PKB has not been granted permission to participate in the legislative elections. [full story...]

President or Bust: Yogyakarta's Sultan Sets His Sights High [12 December]
The governor of Yogyakarta, Sultan Hamengkubuwono X, has said that he is only interested in running for the presidency in 2009, and was not contemplating the vice presidential slot.  His name has been aired as one of the potential presidential candidates to run for the ruling Golkar party, to which he belongs. [full story...] 

See also: Support Grows for Sultain Bid [15 December] [full story...]

Survey: People Favor Younger President [12 December]
A survey has revealed that a majority of the people questioned wanted to see younger figures running either as presidential or vice presidential candidates in the 2009 Election. [full story...]

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Megawati Considers Sultan and Hidayat for Running Mate

The Jakarta Globe
Monday, December 1, 2008
by Muninggar Sri Saraswati  

The Indonesia Democratic Party of Struggle, or PDI-P, is considering either Yogyakarta's governor, Sultan Hamengkubuwono X, or People's Consultative Assembly chairman Hidayat Nurwahid as Megawati Sukarnoputri's running mate in next year's presidential election, a party official said on Sunday. 

Maruarar Sirait, a PDI-P deputy chairman, said that both figures were shown to be popular in several recent opinion polls. "The public has a positive view of both of them," he said on Sunday. 

However, Maruarar said the party would make a final decision on a running mate during a national party meeting next year. 

"The decision on who will run as Megawati's vice presidential candidate is in the hands of the party's members," he said. 

The party has named Megawati, its chairperson and a former president, as its presidential candidate for next year's election. 

Maruarar said that to be Megawati's running mate, a politician had to share her ideology. 

"However, it is important to have a popular vice presidential candidate to improve our chances of winning the election," Maruar said. 

Megawati lost her re-election bid in 2004, with her former minister, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, winning the presidency. 

Hamengkubuwono's chief strategist, Sukardi Rinakit, has said that the sultan was seeking nothing less than the presidency. Hamengkubuwono has yet to win the nomination of the Golkar Party, of which he is a member. 

Hidayat has been named by the Muslim-based Prosperous Justice Party, or PKS, which he formerly chaired, as one of its eight potential presidential nominees. 

The election law provides that only a party or coalition of parties that wins 25 percent of the vote in the legislative elections, or 20 percent of the seats in the House of Representatives, can nominate a presidential candidate.

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Lack Of Polls Watchdog In Aceh Could Spark Tension Next Year

The Jakarta Post
Monday, December 1, 2008 
by Hotli Simanjuntak, Banda Aceh


The absence of an electoral supervisory agency in Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam could trigger violations in the upcoming 2009 election process and threaten stability in the area. 

Accusations of violence and intimidation have marred the election campaign of a number of candidates recently, and is fueling concerns over possible interferences in the election process next year. 

"If the state Election Supervisory Agency (Bawaslu) fails to immediately approve the establishment of an Aceh Elections Supervisory Committee (Panwaslu), we are concerned that the election will be illegitimate, and could even undermine the peace reached in Aceh," leader of the Democracy Awareness Students' Alliance, Helmi, said recently. 

Helmi was speaking at a rally held at the Independent Elections Commission (KIP) and Aceh Provincial Legislative Council (DPRD).  

According to students' the election process has recently been threatened by a number of violent incidents attempting to intimidate prospective voters. 

Helmi says the recent bombing and arson attack of the office and residence of the Partai Aceh leader is one such example. 

"Not to mention covert campaigns carried out by particular parties, such as the Partai Aceh," he said. 

In areas dominated by particular parties, opposition flags have been prohibited and publicly burned, causing friction and violence among the election participants. 

"There are individuals who do not want peace in Aceh," said Helmi. 

Debate between Bawaslu and the Aceh legislature over administrative laws have so far held up the establishment of a Panwaslu in the region. 

"As an autonomous region with its own administrative laws, we refer to the 2006 law on Aceh Administration for the establishment of a Panwaslu in Aceh," said Aceh DPRD Speaker Said Fuad Zakaria. 

However, while the legislature favors using the Aceh Administration Law, Bawaslu has argued that monitoring bodies like Panwaslu should be established nationally, as expressed under the 2007 law on the General Election Implementation. 

Fuad said the dispute between the Aceh legislation and Bawaslu had hindered the establishment of a Panwaslu in Aceh. 

"We have conducted competency tests on prospective Panwaslu members in Aceh, but have not formed the body because the Bawaslu can not determine an outcome for the issue," said Fuad. 

The legislature is currently lobbying the Bawaslu to immediately make a decision and have asked for Vice President Jusuf Kalla's recommendation on the issue. 

"In principle, the vice president has agreed using the provincial law to form the Panwaslu. He has also communicated directly with the Bawaslu," said Fuad. 

"We are still sticking by our decision and will call on the Aceh administrative law in order to set up the Aceh Panwaslu," said Fuad. 

The Panwaslu was due to be established in June when election proceedings began. 

Aceh KIP deputy head Ilham Syahputra said the disagreement between Bawaslu and the Aceh legislature was over the composition of the Aceh Panwaslu. 

"According to Bawaslu, the Panwaslu formed by the Aceh legislature during the last gubernatorial election was no longer applicable," said Ilham. 

He said the Aceh election process could be crippled if the Bawaslu and the Aceh legislature remained in a deadlock over the decision. 

"Each party should be acting on the people's interest rather than their respective egos in order for the Aceh election to run smoothly and peacefully," said Ilham. 

Top

Presidential Election Law being challenged in court

SINDO
December 2, 2008


The central board of the Partai Bulan Bintang, PBB has lodged an appeal to the Constitutional Court against Article 9 of the Presidential Election Law which stipulates that a party must have 20% of the seats or 25% of the votes in order to be able to nominate someone for president.  'We will go to the Court tomorrow to register  our appeal,' said a party leader. 

Ever since the law was drafted, Yusril Ihza Mahendra has made it clear that they would call for a judicial review of this provision. 'With such a condition, it is very difficult for younger people to become candidates. They regard this provision as being unconstitutional because Article 6 of the Constitution stipulates that all parties should be able to nominate candidates.Although this in an initiative take by the PBB, they hope that other parties will join the action. 

In Yogyakarta, the chairman of Hanura, the party of retired general Wiranto says it is ready to join the action. 'As far as we know, eighteen parties are preparing to take a similar action. They all believe that the provision is a breach of the constitutional right to nominate alternative candidates  and stands in the way of parties nominating alternative candidates. 

Meanwhile, Roy Janis of the Partai Demokrasi Pembaruan (PDP)  believes that this stipulation will mean that only people who are  'dripping with money' will be able to nominate a candidate. According to Janis, the stipulation has been included for technical reasons but in so doing, a basic principle of democracy has been violated. By rights, anyone who has won a seat in parliament should be able to nominate a candidate. 

The Partai Persatuan Pembangunan, PPP is very unlikely to be able to nominate one of their own members for president because  the party is not expected to obtain more than 15% (of the seats). 'This means that we will have to join in a coalition with other parties if we can agree on a candidate that conforms with our own vision. 

The chairman of the party, Suryadarma Ali,  said that they do not intend to undertake a massive advertising campaign in the media, but will do advertising on a more limited scale. He said that the competition in 2009 will be very fierce, with many candidates from the newer parties taking part. He said the PPP will need to undergo a lot of changes to be able to compete with the other parties, otherwise they could be left behind. The party obtained fewer voters in 2004 than in 1999 and various polling surveys have put the party quite low down for 2009. 

[PPP is one of the three parties that were permitted to exist during Suharto's New Order.]

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Bye, Big Spenders
Recession casualty: Indonesia's political patrons who bankroll parties

The Straits Times (Singapore)
Wednesday, December 3, 2008
by Wahyudi Soeriaatmadja, Indonesia Correspondent 

JAKARTA: The rich politicians who bankrolled previous campaigns look set to abandon their big-spending role in next year's general election, after seeing their wealth dented by the stock market slump. 

Instead, the parties are likely to return to traditional grassroots campaigning, dropping high-profile TV advertisements and relying on their national networks of supporters to drum up votes. 

A prominent casualty of the financial crisis is Mr Aburizal Bakrie - a key patron of Indonesia's largest political party, Golkar - whose family business is under pressure to repay debts after the price of the shares it was using as collateral took a dive. 

Another big donor is Mr Sutrisno Bachir, who has cancelled a series of nationwide television ads aimed at boosting both his personal popularity and the image of the National Mandate Party which he leads. 

Before the crisis, Mr Sutrisno's main income had been capital gains from his stock market investments, but the PAN chairman seems unfazed by his losses. 

'As an investor who focuses on the stock market, of course I suffered losses. Yes, a big amount, but how much, the media shouldn't need to know. I'm used to exposing myself to risks. I make gains as well as suffer losses.' 

Other entrepreneurs believed to be exposed to the stock market are Mr Hary Tanoesudibyo, donor to President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's Demokrat party, Mr Airlangga Hartarto of Golkar and Mr Fuad Bawazier of the newly established Hanura party. They either have their businesses listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange or have invested in the shares of listed companies. 

Already, the stock market rout and impending recessions worldwide have started to lead to dramatic cuts in campaign spending ahead of the general election. 

According to Nielsen Media Research, political parties have spent 214.47 billion rupiah (S$26.5 million) on media advertisements over the past six months. 

But that figure masks some dramatic monthly reductions - PAN, for example, cut its spending from 37.6 billion rupiah in May to 24.6 billion rupiah in June, and then slashed it to between 2 billion rupiah and 2.5 billion rupiah in October. 

Other parties are likely to follow suit, forcing them to return to more traditional campaigning methods. 

'If they don't replace the ads with other means, that is, face-to-face campaigns by the party network across the nation, then they will have problems,' political analyst Arbi Sanit of the University of Indonesia in Jakarta told The Straits Times. 

And he added: 'Bigger parties will benefit because they have a wider network and more officials in many regions throughout the country.' 

But money is likely to remain a feature of another aspect of Indonesian political campaigning - the street parades and free music concerts where party shirts and cash-stuffed envelopes are handed out. 

'Such events have both legal and illegal aspects and involve a huge amount of funds,' University of Indonesia politics lecturer Panji Anugrah told The Straits Times. 'Money politics is inevitable in countries like Indonesia where many people have economic problems.' 

Indonesian election law bans bribing voters, but parties always find ways to exploit grey areas. Some give out money claiming it is compensation for the time supporters sacrificed while attending an event, or the funds to cover their transport costs. 

Others will contact a village head and pledge to help build a bridge or other public facilities for the community if their party wins the vote in the area. 

'It's difficult to think of any party in Indonesia that was developed and financed by the grassroots,' Mr Panji said. 'In fact, it works the other way round. Parties or party elites receive money from entrepreneurs, then the grassroots receive money from the parties.' 

wahyudis@sph.com.sg 

Where the money went 

TV: 133.8 billion rupiah (S$16 million) 

Newspapers: 80.3 billion rupiah 

Magazines: 220 million rupiah 

Radio: 150 million rupiah 

The big spenders 

PAN: 37.6 billion rupiah 

Gerindra: 36.1 billion rupiah 

Demokrat: 35 billion rupiah 

Where some of it came from 

Mr Sutrisno Bachir is the boss of Ika Muda Group, which has interests in seafood and shrimp exports, real estate as well as investment. The group was involved in founding the Islam-oriented Republika daily newspaper. His decision to form an investment firm brought him closer to the equity portfolio investment world and later made him rich. 

Mr Aburizal Bakrie was Indonesia's richest man.The Bakrie Group, founded by his father, has businesses in infrastructure, mining, property and telecommunications. But the main contribution to

the family fortunes was last year's 600 per cent increase in the value of shares in their coal mining company Bumi Resources 

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PDI-P Confident of Election Win

The Jakarta Globe
Tuesday, December 9, 2008
by Febriamy Hutapea  

A day after a splinter party announced its presidential candidate, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle, or PDI-P, said on Monday it was still confident of winning next year's presidential election. 

The Democratic Reform Party, or PDP, declared on Sunday that Laksamana Sukardi, its collective leadership coordinator, would be its presidential candidate and party leader Roy BB Janis its vice presidential candidate. 

Laksamana was the state minister for state enterprises when PDI-P leader Megawati Sukarnoputri was the nation's president from 2001-4, while Roy was a chairman of the PDI-P faction in the House of Representatives. 

The PDP was formed by disillusioned former PDI-P members, who split in late 2005 after Megawati refused to relinquish her position in the party. 

Laksamana has been identified as a suspect in a corruption case involving the sale of two PT Pertamina oil tankers, but the Attorney General's Office said last month it would probably halt the four-year investigation due to a lack of evidence. 

"The declaration of the PDP's presidential candidate has nothing to do with us, and we don't see it as competition," said Pramono Anung, PDI-P's secretary general. 

Pramono said that PDI-P's position remained safe amid the electoral scrimmage caused by the presence of 34 political parties, including PDP, in the 2009 elections. 

"We are very safe. Almost every survey result reveals that PDI-P will be the winning party in next year's elections" he said. 

However, PDP has claimed that a large number of PDI-P voters would support PDP as the party has tried to commit itself to what it regards as better methods for pursuing democracy, including refusing to support feudalism, which it claims is a weakness of PDI-P. 

Pramono said that PDP's announcement of its presidential candidate would not influence PDI-P voters. "We believe that our loyal cadres and members will continue to back us," he said. 

He reaffirmed that PDI-P would consider forming a coalition with another party on condition that Megawati became the presidential candidate.

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Political 'vibrancy' in Aceh ahead of Indonesian elections

Radio Australia
December 9, 2008

It's four years this month, since the tsunami hit the Indonesian province of Aceh. While the tsunami brought much destruction to the region, it was the catalyst for great political change for Aceh. The government and rebels from the Free Aceh Movement stepped up the pace for peace talks, leading to the Memorandum of Understanding in August 2005. Since then, Aceh has been politically vibrant, but on edge, especially in the lead up to Indonesia's parliamentary elections in April, next year. 

Presenter: Sen Lam 

Speaker: Afridal Darmi, human rights lawyer from Legal Aid Foundation Indonesia 

SEN LAM: Afridal, would that be an accurate observation that Aceh is a little on edge in the lead-up to the 2009 parliamentary elections? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: Yes, I think it's a fair observation on the condition right now. 

SEN LAM: So what are some of the major issues there? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: The speciality about the general election in Aceh is that this is the first time for the Free Aceh Movement to change, to transform themselves from a combatant group into a political party. So it will be the first time to test this new approach whether they can transform themselves successfully or not. And these also will mean a big thing to Indonesian democracy actually because if this approach with local parties, that presumably will give a better constituency, closer constituency to the people, succeeds in Aceh, it could also be copied and also will be applied to the rest of Indonesia and it  will be a new development. 

SEN LAM: How worried is the entrenched establishment, the pro-government people within Aceh, that GAM might get a very strong political voice in upcoming elections? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: Well, of course, the national parties that are already established in Aceh will feel like politically threatened by - that they can lose a lot of votes from this new development but aside from that they generally accept it as a part of promoting the peace process in Aceh. 

SEN LAM: What about the peace process itself - is that working well? I understand that one of the key problems was finding something to do for the GAM rebels who laid down their arms in the two years since the MOU or three years since the signing. How well integrated are these former fighters in Acehnese society? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: I think everybody tries their best but then again words alone are not enough. We still need things to make them feel really accepted by the community and vice versa, that the community also accepts them fully. But if we don't find something more sustainable for them to do then we better accept that things can be downhill from now. 

SEN LAM: But is reconciliation taking place on the ground, though, because both sides, both the military and also GAM rebels have been accused of abuse during the long-running conflict. Are there steps, albeit tentative steps, towards reconciliation in Aceh? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: Yes, the government, the provincial government, set a new plan for forming the TLC, Truth and Reconciliation Commission. This commission is actually mandated by the MOU itself and also the law on the governing of Aceh, the law that gives autonomous rights for Aceh. But so far we are still in a preparing step for that TLC. 

SEN LAM: The preparation stage? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: The preparation stage. The government appointed me, actually, to be leader for this team for this preparation. Hopefully that next year this commission will be established and we can start work on the reconciliation issue from then. 

SEN LAM: Well, the MOU also guaranteed human rights abuses would be tried, so has that been the case, have any steps been taken? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: I'm afraid that's not the case, although the MOU said the human right court would be established for Aceh but there's no progress from 2005 till now. 

SEN LAM: On Radio Australia you're listening to Connect Asia and our studio guest this morning is human rights lawyer Afridal Darmi from Indonesia's Legal Aid Foundation, the LBH. Afridal, part of the MOU covered, obviously, political participation. Is that happening within Aceh? Are the local Acehnese feeling a sense of possession, if you like, of local politics or is the entrenched Golkar is still pretty much running the show and very influential? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: I think yes. I mean the local people, not only GAM, also founded their own parties so we have six local parties now and not all of them are lead by GAM, only one or two, I think it was. There is another party called SIRA - it is formed by a former student movement there with the same name, SIRA, The Centre Information for Referendum Aceh. Another one is human activists - former student who gather themselves and formed another party called PLA. 

SEN LAM: So there's participation from most sections of Acehnese society? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: Yes. 

SEN LAM: The Governor, Irwandi Yusuf, is - I understand he's quite ill. Is that a cause for worry for the Aceh peace process given that he's widely seen as a GAM leader with the ability to moderate the Aceh issue? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: Quite ill but now I think he's recovered. He was in treatment for two months but he returned. He's healthy enough to travel to California and give a speech in the meeting of governor for green projects for development. 

SEN LAM: And just briefly, Afridal, to what extent do you think progress is Aceh is being held back by the fear in Jakarta of the 'balkanisation' of the Indonesian archipelago, the break-up and break away of all these provinces? 

AFRIDAL DARMI: No, I don't think that has any fundament because the very fundament of the MOU is the acceptance of Indonesia as a whole nation, the integrities guaranteed in the MOU, so 'balkanisation' is not an issue for Indonesia, actually. 

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8 Editors File for Review of Election Law

The Jakarta Globe
Thursday, December 11, 2008 

By Muniggar Sri Saraswati

Eight newspaper chief editors on Wednesday filed for a judicial review of the legislative election law, which requires the media to provide equal opportunity to the advertisement campaigns of

contesting political parties. 

Lawyer Torozatulo Mendrofa, who represented the plaintiffs at the Constitutional Court, said there were 20 articles in the law that violated the constitutional rights of his clients as they carry penalties, including the revocation of broadcasting licenses for broadcast media and publishing licenses for print

media. 

"These articles are vague. Political parties have different strengths when it comes to financial funds," he said. "What will happen if some of them do not want to place ads while some others aggressively run ads in media?" 

One article of the law deemed detrimental to the editors' constitutional rights was Article 93. Its paragraph 3 requires print and broadcasting media to provide equal opportunity to political parties in running their campaign ads. 

Another article, number 97, requires print and broadcast media to provide "fair and balanced" space and time for the publication of news, interviews and campaign advertisements of the parties. Failure to comply could results in the possible revocation of their broadcasting or publishing license. 

Torozatulo asserted that advertisements, including campaign ads, were one of the main sources of income for the media. 

"These articles may harm both print and broadcast media as they cannot force parties to run ads in all media. Therefore, we demand the annulment of the articles," he said. 

Torozantulo represented Tarman Azzam of the daily Harian Terbit; Kristanto Hartadi of the Sinar Harapan; Sasongko Tedjo of the Semarang-based Suara Merdeka; Ratna Susilowati of the Rakyat

Merdeka daily; Marthen Selamet Susanto of Koran Jakarta; Badiri Siahaan of the Media Bangsa; Dedy Pristiwanto of Warta Kota daily and Ilham Bintang of Cek & Ricek Tabloid. 

The hearing, presided over by Justice Maria Farida Indrati, is set to resume next week. 

Indonesia's legislative election is scheduled for April 2009 while the presidential election are in July.

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New Axis Of Islam Sought In Polls 

The Jakarta Post
Thursday, December 11, 2008 

Muhammadiyah chairman Din Syamsuddin has called for the formation of a new strategic coalition of Islam-based political parties to win next year's presidential election. 

The central axis is intended to "maintain the political representation of Islam" in Indonesia, said Din, who has been touted as a presidential or vice presidential hopeful. 

"Such a strategic coalition is urgently required in the presidential election, as both Islamic and Islam-based parties should ideally be represented by a single presidential or vice presidential candidate," he said via text message Wednesday. 

He said the Islamic coalition would play a role as a "new central axis" toward the two forces -- one controlled by the incumbents and another by the opposition group. 

Not only will the new axis push for the "solidarity of Muslim voters", but it will also target swinging voters during the 2009 elections, Din said. 

The political forces of Islam, scattered across many parties, should not become a "factor of weakness" for Muslims in Indonesia but instead bring strength for them through politics, Din said. 

In the 1999 election after the fall of Soeharto, a central axis of Islamic parties advocated by former Muhammadiyah leader Amien Rais successfully campaigned to appoint Abdurrahman Wahid as the new president. -- JP 

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House Furious Over Officials Absence From Abduction Hearing

The Jakarta Post
Thursday, December 11, 2008
by Adianto P. Simamora

A House of Representatives' special committee has slammed the Attorney General for failing to attend a meeting on the establishment of an investigative tribunal into the abduction of democracy advocates. 

Hendarman Supandji was in Bali as part of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's entourage for the Bali Democracy Forum. Instead of attending Wednesday's meeting with lawmakers, he sent assistant attorney general for special crimes Marwan Effendy. 

"This is not a technical meeting to discuss issues like the state budget. It is a working meeting which is political in nature," Committee chairman Effendi Simbolon said to Marwan in relation to Hendarman's absence. 

The Committee also invited Coordinating Minister for Political, Legal and Security Affairs Widodo A.S., National Police Chief Gen. Bambang Hendarso Danuri, State Intelligence Agency (BIN) chief Syamsir Siregar and Indonesian Military (TNI) chief Gen. Djoko Santoso. 

None of these high-profile figures attended the meeting. 

Widodo was also in Bali while Djoko and Bambang sent letters explaining their absence. Bambang had another hearing session with the House's Commission III overseeing legal affairs. 

"I want to ask Hendarman if he received the final report from the team about the abduction of democracy activists in 1997-1998. If he has, why is the case back to square one?" Effendi said to Kompas.com. 

Effendi, a politician with the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), said earlier that the Committee would call upon several retired generals, including former Indonesian Armed Forces (ABRI) chief of social-political affairs Yudhoyono, former ABRI commander Wiranto, former Army Special Forces (Kopassus) chief Prabowo Subianto and former Jakarta military chiefs Sutiyoso and Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin. 

The Committee was established last year but has so far been inactive until Effendi's recent announcement to summon the retired generals. 

Observers have questioned the motives behind the Committee's sudden move, saying that those being summoned were presidential hopefuls in next year's election, and the investigations would take place months before the election. 

Yudhoyono is the adviser to the Democratic Party, which surveys have revealed possesses the most popular candidates in the upcoming presidential election. 

Wiranto, a former presidential candidate in 2004, is now chairman of the People's Conscience Party (Hanura), while Prabowo, an adviser to the Great Indonesian Movement Party (Gerindra), will also run for presidency.

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Elections Body Warned Over Fraud 

The Jakarta Post
Thursday, December 11, 2008 
by Andra Wisnu, Denpasar

In light of the electoral rigging during East Java's recent gubernatorial election, the General Elections Commission (KPU) has warned Bali's regional counterpart (KPUD) against shortchanging the electoral process. 

At a meeting in the governor's office in Denpasar last week, KPU member I Gusti Putu Artha urged Bali's KPUD members to support free and fair democracy and maintain neutrality in the months of campaigning ahead. 

"You members must maintain your loyalty to this institution and nowhere else. I don't want any friction or conflicts in the internal workings of the KPU," he said. 

"We don't want the election in Bali to be East Java-ed, where they ended up having to re-do the election," he said. 

The Constitutional Court recently annulled the result of the East Java gubernatorial election, which elected Soekarwo -- nominated by President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's Democratic

Party and the National Mandate Party -- citing systematic and massive election fraud. 

The court found that, on June 15, Soekarwo had signed a deal with Moch. Moezamil, secretary-general of the East Java village leaders association, to pay between Rp 50 million (US$4,600) and 150 million to each village in exchange for their support at the ballot box. 

Under the same deal, Soekarwo also promised provincial funds to boost the "welfare" of village leaders and officials. 

The case shed light on how vulnerable public officials, including KPUD members, could be to manipulation. 

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Money Politics Threat to the Elections 

SINDO 11 December 2008

According to the former chairman of the Supreme Consultative Asssembly, MPR, Amien Rais, a presidential candidate needs four ‘M’s - masses, money,  military and media as well as one ‘S’ - students. 

As things stand, if you don’t have money, he said, you needn't bother to try. For this reason, supervision of the election is more necessary than ever, to ensure that the elections are much better than in 2004. 

A member of the Supervisory Board, Panwaslu, said they have already detected the problem of money politics, and are preparing to sign a  memorandum of understanding with Indonesia Corruption Watch. These investigations should be able to detect unlawful sources of money. 

[Our information indicates that one of the presidential candidates with the largest supply of money is Prabowo Subianto, former commander of Kopassus who was responsible for the militia that were employed with such devastating effect in East Timor. His monetary backing is believed to equal that of the incumbent president, SBY, namely more than one trillion rupiah. He plans to sell off his oil wells, while his brother in London is also providing funds for his campaign. It is believed that Prabowo's party will shortly take over the rights of the newspaper, Indonesia Raya and re-launch it as the party's organ. Prabowo appears almost daily on TV and current polls regularly include him among the top three or four candidates. TAPOL] 

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GOLKAR orders an end to discussion about presidential candidate 

SINDO, 11 December 2008

The Central Board of GOLKAR has instructed the regional and local branches of the party to end all discussions regarding the party's candidate for the presidency. The instruction is signed by party chairman Jusuf Kalla. The intention is for branches to concentrate on the legislative elections, so whoever is putting themselves forward for the presidency should do nothing to hamper activities for the elections in April. 

In the end, GOLKAR's candidate will be determined by the people in general. The decision about a presidential candidate will not be taken until after the legislative elections in April. 

Meanwhile, Fadel Muhammaad, the party's leader in Gorontalo, said he was surprised by this news but he has decided to halt activities as requested.. He also said that he has accepted in invitation to attend a book launch to be held by the chairwoman of PDI-P, Megawati Sukarnoputri. He denied that this was related to the question of his  becoming her running mate. He was afraid that this might lead to a misunderstanding with the party's chairman Jusuf Kalla. He also said that he personally was very keen to serve the nation at the national level.

News of the GOLKAR instruction has led to accusations within the party of a lack of democracy, among them Yuddy Chrisnandi of the younger generation who has declared himself as a presidential candidate.. 'It is ridiculous to prohibit discussion about the presidential candidate,' he said. It is true that the matter will be decided after the legislative elections but the selection process should already be underway. Campaigning for the presidency cannot start until May, after the elections in April. This leaves a very short period until the presidential election in July which leaves very little time for the selection process to occur. 

He said that GOLKAR should put forward its candidate soon , so as to win support from the voters. 

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Members of NU are ordered not to abstain (golput)

SINDO, 11 December 

The general chairman of Nahdlatul Ulama said that although there is no prohibition for its members to abstain from voting, they will be advised to exercise their right to vote.  It would be wrong for NU members to decide to abstain. 'We have decided that every citizen has an obligation to vote, but we dont have the powers to prohibit members from abstaining,' he said. 

These remarks were in response to the call from Abdurrahman Wahid, for people to boycott the election, a stand adopted by Gus Dur because his party, the PKB has not been granted permission to participate in the legislative elections. 

Muhaimin Iskandar of the PKB split-off party is meanwhile stressing that it is obligatory to take part in the voting. 

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President or Bust: Yogyakarta's Sultan Sets His Sights High

The Jakarta Globe
Friday, December 12, 2008 
by Bhimanto Suwastoyo 

The governor of Yogyakarta, Sultan Hamengkubuwono X, said on Thursday that he was only interested in running for the presidency in 2009, and was not contemplating the vice presidential slot. 

"At the present, I only want to become president," the sultan told the Jakarta Globe. 

He said that, as the law requires, he was ready to resign from his governorship to take part in the presidential race. 

The name of the 62-year-old sultan-cum-governor has been aired as one of the potential presidential candidates to run for the ruling Golkar party, to which he belongs. 

But the sultan, who heads the Yogyakarta sultanate, one of the two main royal houses in Central Java, said that he had yet to decide which party he would run for. 

"Everything has go to through a process," he said when asked whether he had approached or had been approached by any political party interested in having him run as a presidential candidate in the 2009 elections. 

He said that he had been and continued to be busy approaching various figures and organizations. 

He cited an immediate plan to meet with former President Megawati Sukarnoputri, who heads the country's second largest party, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle, and had scheduled meetings with several political parties. 

"Approaches are certainly taking place, because it is yet unsure if political parties can choose from among their own political cadres," Hamengkubuwono said. 

However, he said that any coalition, sharing of plans and cooperation, would only "crystallize" once the results of the legislative elections in April 2009 were out. 

"I am certain that no party can go forward on their own," the governor said. 

Several polls conducted by private survey organizations have shown that the popularity of the sultan, a lawyer by education, had remained high or even increased in recent months. 

The latest survey, conducted by the Center for Strategic Policy and Development Studies, ranked him in fourth place with 6.66 percent of the vote. Incumbent President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono was first with 37.57 percent, Megawati was second with 35.61 percent and Prabowo Subianto, the former commander of the Army's Special Forces, came in third with 10.59 percent. 

The survey, involving 1,3555 respondents from 33 provinces, was conducted from Nov. 24 to Dec. 4. 

Hamengkubuwono X said that his popularity, contrary to what many believed, was greater elsewhere than in Java itself and invitations to visit were flowing in from all corners of the archipelago. 

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Support Grows For Sultan Bid

The Jakarta Post
Monday, December 15, 2008 

Support for Yogyakarta Governor Sultan Hamengkubuwono X's candidacy in next year's presidential election is increasing, with several major political parties seeing him as an attractive alternative to other candidates, a political observer said. 

"It seems the sultan's public appeal as a contender for the presidential post is getting stronger," political analyst Sukardi Rinakit said here Saturday, as quoted by Antara news agency. 

He responded to a statement made by United Development Party (PPP) secretary-general Irgan Chairul Mahfiz that the people, including PPP cadres, wanted to see alternative presidential hopefuls -- the sultan offers just such an alternative. 

"The public know they can trust the sultan," said Sukardi, who is serving as the sultan's campaign manager. 

He said the people want a stronger economy and peace. 

"The sultan can give people optimism and peace of mind," Sukardi said. 

Irgan had said earlier that the sultan had great potential to win wide public support as an alternative candidate for next year's election. 

Despite his rising popularity, M. Qodari, executive director of Indo Barometer, said it would not be easy for the sultan to win the presidency. Lack of support from political parties, he said, would be the main barrier to the victory. 

"The Sultan's biggest problem is his political vehicle. His background is with The Golkar Party. However, Golkar is controlled by incumbent Vice President Jusuf Kalla," he said, as quoted by Kompas.com. 

"To move to another party would be very risky for the sultan. He is only supported by The Republikan Party, which is still relatively unknown among the public," he added. 

However, Qodari said, this would change if the Sultan agreed to run as a vice presidential candidate, since he has been named the most popular candidate for the post in recent surveys. 

"If the sultan is willing to take the number two position, many political parties are willing to offer it to him. But the sultan seems to want to try to run for the president's post," he added.

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Survey: People Favor Younger President

The Jakarta Globe
Friday, December 12, 2008 

by Muninggar Sri Saraswati 

A survey by the Indonesian Research and Development Institute released on Thursday has revealed that a majority of the people questioned wanted to see younger figures running either as presidential or vice presidential candidates in the 2009 election. 

The national survey was held from Oct. 6 to Oct. 13, involved 2,000 respondents and defined "younger" as people under 60. 

Institute chairwoman Notrida GB Mandica-Nur said on Thursday that 54.8 percent of the respondents answered "yes" when asked whether they want younger figures to run in the 2009 election. 

Another 20.05 percent did not want younger candidates while 25.15 percent either said they did not understand the question or did not answer. 

About 48.5 percent of respondents "wanted Indonesia to have an older president paired with a young vice president," Notrida said. 

By contrast, 31.2 percent wanted both to be from the older generation while 17.8 percent wanted both to be younger. The rest were undecided. 

Among the figures named as younger candidates were Speaker of the People's Consultative Assembly Hidayat Nurwadid, who is 48; the president's spokesman, Andi Mallarangeng, 45; National Mandate Party Chairman Sutrisno Bachir, 51; Youth and Sports Minister Adhyaksa Dault, 45; Democrat Party Deputy Chairman Anas Urbaningrum, 39; State Secretary Hatta Radjasa, 55; and Tifatul Sembiring, 47, chairman of the Prosperous Justice Party. 

The survey used the multi-stage random sampling method, with a 2.2 percentage-point margin of error. 

Notrida said the results were surprising because 44.8 percent of the respondents reported that their salaries or wages were merely adequate while only 20 percent considered that their lives had improved over the past four years under the government of 59-year-old President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and 66-year-old Vice President Jusuf Kalla. 

"We don't know why the respondents wanted younger figures to run in the upcoming election as we didn't ask them," she said. 

Adhyaksa and Anas said Indonesians wanted alternative figures to stand for president in the 2009 election, after many surveys had predicted it would be a competition between Yudhoyono and former President Megawati Sukarnoputri, 61. 

"People want to see something new next year," Adhyaksa said. 

Anas said the people may want younger figures to run to "freshen up the election." 

"I don't think age matters as long as the candidates have progressive views and are committed to the betterment of Indonesia," he said. 

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